Our model gives Zimbru a 59% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Dacia-Buiucani.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Zimbru have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Dacia-Buiucani have done so in 1 of their last 2.