Our model gives Wuhan Three Towns II a 27% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 41% for Haimen Codion.

Both teams are projected to score in 39% of simulations, against 61% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 32% likelihood against 68% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Wuhan Three Towns II have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Haimen Codion have done so in 2 of their last 4.