Our model gives WSPG Wels a 22% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 53% for First Vienna.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, WSPG Wels have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and First Vienna have done so in 3 of their last 3.