Our model gives Wil a 38% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Stade Nyonnais.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Wil have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Stade Nyonnais have done so in 3 of their last 3.