Our model gives Weiche Flensburg a 37% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 41% for Phönix Lübeck.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Weiche Flensburg have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Phönix Lübeck have done so in 2 of their last 4.