Our model gives Tromsø a 58% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 18% for HamKam.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 51% likelihood against 49% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Tromsø have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and HamKam have done so in 1 of their last 3.