Our model gives Sportivo Trinidense a 31% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 39% for Guaraní.

Both teams are projected to score in 49% of simulations, against 51% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 40% likelihood against 60% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sportivo Trinidense have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Guaraní have done so in 2 of their last 4.