Our model gives Sportivo Barracas a 31% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 37% for Cañuelas.

Both teams are projected to score in 40% of simulations, against 60% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 32% likelihood against 68% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sportivo Barracas have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Cañuelas have done so in 1 of their last 3.