Our model gives Sportist Svoge a 32% chance to win this one, against 31% for a draw and 37% for Vihren.

Both teams are projected to score in 45% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 39% likelihood against 61% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sportist Svoge have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Vihren have done so in 1 of their last 3.