Our model gives Sportfreunde Siegen a 61% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Wattenscheid 09.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sportfreunde Siegen have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Wattenscheid 09 have done so in 1 of their last 3.