Our model gives Sarajevo a 55% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Sloga Doboj.

Both teams are projected to score in 37% of simulations, against 63% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 34% likelihood against 66% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sarajevo have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Sloga Doboj have done so in 0 of their last 1.