Our model gives Rosengård a 39% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Trelleborg.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rosengård have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Trelleborg have done so in 2 of their last 2.