Our model gives Pro Vercelli a 42% chance to win this one, against 34% for a draw and 24% for Alcione.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 35% likelihood against 65% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Pro Vercelli have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1.