Our model gives Polonia Bytom a 34% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 40% for Ruch Chorzów.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Polonia Bytom have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Ruch Chorzów have done so in 0 of their last 4.