Our model gives Orsha a 16% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 66% for Slutsk.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Orsha have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Slutsk have done so in 4 of their last 5.