Our model gives Nacional Potosí a 52% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Always Ready.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Nacional Potosí have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Always Ready have done so in 2 of their last 4.