Our model gives Motor Lublin a 32% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 40% for Górnik Zabrze.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Motor Lublin have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Górnik Zabrze have done so in 2 of their last 5.