Our model gives Monterrey W a 94% chance to win this one, against 4% for a draw and 2% for Necaxa W.

Both teams are projected to score in 35% of simulations, against 65% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 85% likelihood against 15% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Monterrey W have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Necaxa W have done so in 1 of their last 1.