Our model gives Montana a 35% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 38% for Hebar 1918.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Montana have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Hebar 1918 have done so in 2 of their last 2.