Our model gives Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 a 18% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 57% for CSKA Sofia.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and CSKA Sofia have done so in 5 of their last 6.