Our model gives Lillestrøm a 44% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Torreense.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Lillestrøm have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Torreense have done so in 2 of their last 2.