Our model gives Levski Sofia a 31% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 44% for Salzburg.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Levski Sofia have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 6, and Salzburg have done so in 2 of their last 5.