Our model gives Kingstonian a 38% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 40% for Leatherhead.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Kingstonian have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Leatherhead have done so in 3 of their last 3.