Our model gives Jerv a 62% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Egersund.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Jerv have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Egersund have done so in 1 of their last 3.