Our model gives Internacional de Bogotá a 24% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 49% for Atlético Nacional.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Internacional de Bogotá have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Atlético Nacional have done so in 1 of their last 3.