Our model gives Independiente Petrolero a 51% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 28% for San Antonio Bulo Bulo.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Independiente Petrolero have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and San Antonio Bulo Bulo have done so in 3 of their last 5.