Our model gives Hegelmann II a 24% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 55% for Dainava.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Hegelmann II have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Dainava have done so in 2 of their last 4.