Our model gives Haverfordwest County a 59% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Holywell.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Haverfordwest County have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Holywell have done so in 3 of their last 3.