Our model gives Greenville Triumph a 50% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Corpus Christi.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Greenville Triumph have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5, and Corpus Christi have done so in 0 of their last 3.