Our model gives Elverum a 38% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 44% for Raufoss.

Both teams are projected to score in 71% of simulations, against 29% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 82% likelihood against 18% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Elverum have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Raufoss have done so in 2 of their last 3.