Our model gives Eker Örebro a 19% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 63% for Haninge.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 75% likelihood against 25% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Eker Örebro have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Haninge have done so in 2 of their last 3.