Our model gives Deportivo Santaní a 37% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Sol de América.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 44% likelihood against 56% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Deportivo Santaní have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Sol de América have done so in 1 of their last 3.