Our model gives Club Bolívar a 81% chance to win this one, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 78% likelihood against 22% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Club Bolívar have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 7, and Gualberto Villarroel SJ have done so in 2 of their last 4.