Our model gives Central Cordoba SdE a 38% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Defensa y Justicia.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Central Cordoba SdE have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Defensa y Justicia have done so in 3 of their last 3.