Our model gives Bucheon 1995 a 25% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 49% for Gimcheon Sangmu.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Bucheon 1995 have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Gimcheon Sangmu have done so in 2 of their last 4.