Our model gives Bonner SC a 40% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Bergisch Gladbach.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Bonner SC have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Bergisch Gladbach have done so in 2 of their last 3.