Our model gives Bahia W a 18% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 59% for Corinthians W.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 51% likelihood against 49% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Bahia W have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Corinthians W have done so in 2 of their last 3.