Our model gives Auda a 72% chance to win this one, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Ogre United.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Auda have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5, and Ogre United have done so in 2 of their last 2.