Our model gives Athletic Club Boise a 62% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Charlotte Independence.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Athletic Club Boise have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Charlotte Independence have done so in 2 of their last 3.