Our model gives 3 de Noviembre a 31% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 42% for Guaireña.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, 3 de Noviembre have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Guaireña have done so in 1 of their last 4.